Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.041349 0.044935 0.048550 0.052459 0.056562 0.060735 0.065292
2025-09-28 0.036635 0.042017 0.047619 0.053860 0.060595 0.067621 0.075482
2025-10-05 0.031553 0.038096 0.045113 0.053143 0.062021 0.071488 0.082294
2025-10-12 0.028166 0.035631 0.043855 0.053485 0.064355 0.076154 0.089840
2025-10-19 0.025654 0.033874 0.043152 0.054239 0.066977 0.081013 0.097510
2025-10-26 0.023520 0.032342 0.042525 0.054922 0.069390 0.085543 0.104747
2025-11-02 0.020356 0.029326 0.039948 0.053145 0.068810 0.086546 0.107885
2025-11-09 0.018264 0.027453 0.038586 0.052666 0.069626 0.089054 0.112664
2025-11-16 0.016526 0.025889 0.037485 0.052399 0.070604 0.091684 0.117529
2025-11-23 0.015800 0.025571 0.037880 0.053914 0.073684 0.096760 0.125236
2025-11-30 0.015005 0.025096 0.038026 0.055082 0.076318 0.101294 0.132308
2025-12-07 0.014076 0.024371 0.037799 0.055739 0.078296 0.105028 0.138428
2025-12-14 0.012993 0.023391 0.037223 0.055962 0.079775 0.108224 0.144002
2025-12-21 0.012417 0.023091 0.037521 0.057294 0.082633 0.113099 0.151610
2025-12-28 0.011113 0.021646 0.036213 0.056486 0.082768 0.114640 0.155205
2026-01-04 0.010312 0.020888 0.035797 0.056812 0.084308 0.117884 0.160850
2026-01-11 0.009722 0.020410 0.035735 0.057580 0.086396 0.121793 0.167300
2026-01-18 0.009157 0.019928 0.035639 0.058282 0.088385 0.125575 0.173601
2026-01-25 0.007888 0.018220 0.033711 0.056432 0.087013 0.125132 0.174694
2026-02-01 0.007108 0.017250 0.032802 0.055933 0.087369 0.126823 0.178394
2026-02-08 0.006450 0.016432 0.032077 0.055655 0.087988 0.128829 0.182472
2026-02-15 0.006298 0.016494 0.032670 0.057228 0.091071 0.133968 0.190459
2026-02-22 0.006068 0.016399 0.033013 0.058441 0.093673 0.138501 0.197704